Business & FinanceTackling
issues of world development without thinking about business and finance is
foolhardy. Economic development hinges on a country's or region's
ability to attract companies and industries to "do business"
there.
Local entrepreneurs and business owners might be decide to open a shop or
factory in one region or another based on factors like:
-The size and quality of the consumer market in that region
-The cost of doing business in a particular area (e.g. the cost of a
telephone call)
-The tax rate on profits
-The level of education or vocational skills of potential employees
-The basic infrastructure in a region (e.g. the quality of roads)
International investors must add to this list of criteria the following:
-The risk of appropriation of their assets by the local government.
-Currency risk (e.g. the risk that the local currency will depreciate
relative to the foreign currency, which will reduce the company's
foreign-denominated profits)
The following links point to industry resources that help foreign
investors and local governments identify and promote good international
investment opportunities.
Sovereign
(Country) Credit Rating Actions
Moody's - actions news updated daily
Investment Promotion
The process by which a country or region entices foreign companies
and investors to invest in their country or region:
IPAnet.net:
Established in 1995 as part of the
Multilateral Investment Guarantee Agency (MIGA's) mandate to enhance
foreign direct investment (FDI) in developing regions, the Investment
Promotion Network (IPAnet) is the leading international investment-specific
portal website providing free access to online foreign investment and
privatization resources.
The
Overseas Private Investment Corporation
is a U.S. government agency that sells political risk insurance and loans to
help U.S. businesses of all sizes invest and compete in more than 140
emerging markets and developing nations worldwide.
The Cost of Doing Business
The World Bank
Doing Business database provides indicators of the cost of doing
business by identifying specific regulations that constrain business
investment, productivity, and growth.
Measuring Political Risk
The
International Country Risk Guides'
risk ratings have been cited by experts at the IMF, World Bank, United
Nations and many other international bodies as a standard against which
other ratings can be measured.
Political
Risk, Economic Risk and Financial Risk
Claude B. Erb,
Campbell R. Harvey (website)
& Tadas E. Viskanta
ABSTRACT: How important is an understanding of country risk for investors?
Given the increasingly global nature of investment portfolios, we believe it
is very important. Our paper measures the economic content of five different
measures of country risk: The International Country Risk Guide's political
risk, the financial risk, economic risk and composite risk indices and
Institutional Investor's country credit ratings. First, we explore whether
any of these measures contain information about future expected stock
returns by conducting trading simulations. .... We find that the country
risk measures are correlated with each other, however, financial risk
measures contain the most information about future equity returns. Finally,
we find that country risk measures are highly correlated with country equity
valuation measures. This provides some insight into the reason for higher
returns for value-oriented strategies.
Link to
Paper
International Business/Country Intelligence
Oxford Intelligence
Economist Intelligence Unit
World Markets Research Center
WMRC specialises in providing comprehensive and impartial business
information that is vital to organisations operating in today's highly
competitive and rapidly changing marketplace.
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